This article contains information on a recent poll conducted by two major news outlets that paints a not-so-good picture for the Democrats chances in the upcoming midterm elections.
A recent poll from two major news outlets revealed that the Democrats are heavily overshadowed by the Republicans in dealing with economic issues by double-digit margins. The poll also predicted rough waters ahead for the Democratic party in the upcoming midterm elections scheduled for November 8th.
Just 35% Democrats want Biden to run again, poll reveals
With his party struggling in the midterms, his economic stewardship under fire, and his overall job approval rating below 40%, a clear majority of Democrats say the party should replace Joe Biden as its presidential nominee in 2024, according to a recent poll.
The poll found that 74% of Americans now believe the economy is in bad shape, up from 58% in the spring of 2021. Only 35% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents support the president seeking a second term.
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, on the other hand, were split 47%-46% on whether Donald Trump should be their 2024 nominee, a 20-point drop from Trump’s 2020 nomination.
The economy and skyrocketing inflation are key issues among voters; 84% consider inflation to be a top factor. And when he was recently asked if the August inflation index report bothered him, President Joe Biden replied saying, “No, I’m not, because we’re talking about one-tenth of 1%.”
While price hikes were seen across multiple categories in June, the largest price increases were in gasoline, food and shelter— the year-over-year increase in food prices was 10.4%, while the increase in shelter prices was 5.6%, and the increase in energy prices was 41.6%. Housing, food, and energy are also major components of the Consumer Price Index, accounting for nearly 54% of the total index.
Despite the fact that energy commodities such as gasoline and services such as electricity are not heavily weighted in the Consumer Price Index, energy prices have risen significantly, with gas prices increasing 60% year on year. While gas prices have fallen in the last month, they remain high; according to the American Automobile Association, the national average for a gallon of gasoline is $4.28 as of July 28.
Democrats relying on abortion rights, climate, and education for thrust in Midterms
Following the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, widely regarded as one of the most significant conservative political victories in more than a generation, many Democratic operatives anticipate that abortion will drive high turnout among left-leaning voters.
However, abortion trails economic concerns in the poll, with only 62% of respondents naming abortion as a top issue — despite a 20% preference for Democrats over Republicans on the issue.
Among second-order issues, voters favour Democrats by 6% and 23% on education and climate change, respectively. Republicans have a 14% advantage in crime, including a 34% advantage among independents. Democrats were in charge of twelve of the major American cities that set new homicide records last year.
Another advantage the Democrats have is that their current results are better than last November, when the Republicans led in national House vote preferences by ten percentage points, 51%-41%.