HomePoliticsDonald Trump's Chances vs. Joe Biden's, if Trump Runs Again in 2024

Donald Trump’s Chances vs. Joe Biden’s, if Trump Runs Again in 2024

Several bookmakers have Donald Trump as their favourite to win the 2024 presidential race if he runs, but polls show that in a hypothetical match-up, he and Joe Biden are still neck-and-neck. Trump is the favourite to be the next president, according to Competitive analysis, which compiles betting odds from a variety of sources.

Paddy Power and Betfair, for example, are offering odds of 11/4, while Bet365 and SkyBet are offering odds of 12/5 and 5/2, respectively. Paddy Power and Betfair, on the other hand, have been offering 9/2 chances on Biden being able to win the 2024 election, while Bet365 and SkyBet are offering 5/1 odds. Trump has not formally declared his intention to run for president again, and he has hinted at it since leaving the White House in January 2021.

What does the poll say?

On October 22, 2020, during the final presidential debate at Belmont Community college in Nashville, Tennessee. A latest Emerson College poll conducted on May 24 and 25 backed up the idea that the President could beat Biden in a purely theoretical 2024 match-up. According to the respondents, 44 per cent of those polled said that they would vote for Trump in 2024, while 42 per cent said they would vote for Biden if the two were running against each other.

Trump v Biden

The survey also shows that Biden’s favorability rating is still low, at 38%, down from 42% in an April poll. According to the Emerson College poll, white voters approve of Biden’s job only 33% of the time, while black voters approve of him 61% of the time. “Biden is having trouble with swing voters, especially Independent voters and suburban voters; a large majority of Independent voters (55%) and suburban voters (53%) disapprove of Biden’s job performance as President,” said Spencer Kimball, executive general manager of Emerson College Polling.

Who would win in the 2024 elections?

Biden’s current average approval rating, according to FiveThirtyEight’s poll of polls, is 40.8 per cent, just above his historically low of 40.4 % recorded at the end of February and well below the low to mid-50s the president was enjoying in his first few months in the White House. According to the results of the latest Yahoo News/YouGov poll, Biden’s chances of winning the 2024 election are improving. According to the poll, in a purely theoretical 2024 match-up, the current president defeats Trump by 42 per cent to 39 per cent.

Americans favor Trump more than Biden
Americans favor Trump more than Biden

The survey of 1,600 adults in the United States of America was performed from May 19 to 22 and found that Biden has a 42 per cent approval rating, which is higher than the national average. Most potential voters, however, believe that neither 79-year-old Biden (57%) nor 75-year-old Trump (52%) could perhaps run for president again in 2024. Harris had been the favourite to win in 2024 throughout most of last year but Trump rose to the top of odds boards by November of 2021. Biden reportedly told former President Barack Obama in April 2022 that he will run for re-election in 2024, making it more unlikely that Harris receives the Democratic nomination.

The current political landscape explained

Biden’s approval rating for his fifth quarter as President was incredibly low, at 41.3 per cent, according to Gallup data. Biden was hardly the most popular Commander-in-Chief of all time, with sky-high gasoline prices and rising tensions with Russia. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who had the same odds as Biden on April 28 of this year, has recently risen in the polls for the 2024 US Presidential election.

Despite polling results, Biden remains the Democratic nominee’s most likely candidate. In the United States, no mainstream political party has ever refused to renominate an elected official who is eligible for reelection. This is partly due to the fact that deposing an incumbent president has proven to be extremely difficult in the United States’ history. Before 2020, it hadn’t happened in roughly 30 years.

Trump 2024

Trump, on the other hand, is still the front-runner. Given the political climate, there seem to be a lot of long shots this time. Trump, who had no prior political experience, was elected president of the United States in 2016. It’s no longer enough to have a well-known celebrity with a huge fan base. For months, Dwayne Johnson, Tucker Carlson, and Dave Portnoy have all been on the list.

In an election year, the Iowa councils and the New Hampshire primary, which usually take place in February, are the first deciding events. Although the winners of these group races aren’t always guaranteed nominations, the results can have a big impact on the odds. By the time Iowans and New Hampshire residents gather to make their decisions, bettors in the United Kingdom and across Europe should have a good idea of who is running for both parties’ nominations. Even though the Democratic Party has a longstanding experience of renominating incumbents, that isn’t a given in 2024.

Will Donald Trump Run Again in the 2024 elections?

There is every possibility that Trump might run for president again in 2024
There is every possibility that Trump might run for president again in 2024

According to a similar metric, Trump got more votes for his opponent than any incumbent in US history. This is another reason why the GOP might look elsewhere in 2024. According to UK betting odds, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, and Ivanka Trump are the current favourites to be the GOP nominee in 2024. Regardless of whether Haley or Ivanka Trump would’ve been the first female presidential nominee in Republican history is debatable. Ivanka Trump would have been the first president’s daughter to be nominated for the job.

What are the odds for a Republican win?

According to a similar metric, Trump got more votes for his opponent than any incumbent in US history. This is another reason why the GOP might look elsewhere in 2024. According to UK betting odds, Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, and Ivanka Trump are the current favourites to be the GOP nominee in 2024. Regardless of whether Haley or Ivanka Trump would’ve been the first female presidential nominee in Republican history is debatable. Ivanka Trump would have been the first president’s daughter to be nominated for the job.

  • Democrats

Democrats

In the history of the United States, no major political party has ever failed to nominate an incumbent for reelection when he is eligible for a second term. In 2024, however, UK books predict that the Democrats will break with tradition and nominate Vice President-Elect Kamala Harris instead. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a member of the New York City Council, and Pete Buttigieg, a former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, are among the other frontrunners in these polls.

  • Republicans

Republicans

While Donald Trump is currently the favourite in the polls in the United Kingdom, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley is the next most popular candidate. Following that, former Vice President Mike Pence and Trump’s daughter, Ivanka, are in the field.

 

 

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